Thursday 28 April 2011
Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 28th April 2011
This bank holiday weekend should end up pretty decent, though not quite as good as the last one which was quite exceptional.
'THE DAY' should start off cloudy with perhaps a little light patchy rain, but it will brighten up and warm up - though this may trigger off a few showers, 19'C if you are lucky with sunshine, 17'C if not so lucky.
Saturday sees low pressure to the south, high to the north, with easterly winds over much of England. Showers to the south and west - Reading should be too far north and therefore stay dry, it may reach 21'C, though 19'C is more realistic.
Sunday sees only subtle changes, more cloud, again a chance of a shower, probably only 18'C - unless it does turn out to be sunny, but I am expecting cloud to be more likely.
Monday looks a bit more favourable for sunshine, but still plenty of cloud potential and slight shower potential, 18'C. I would not be surprised though if it turned out better than the current forecast - the very warm air is still over France and it would not take too much to change things markedly for the better.
Tuesday, the low pressure which has been very slowly developing to the west of the UK over the weekend will start to form more and progress towards the UK, rain in the west but Reading should be fine and dry, but cooler air, 16'C.
Wednesday looks likely to see some rain at some point, as the low pressure moves slightly further eastwards towards Ireland. 15'C.
Thursday, low pressure still to the west of Ireland, not really moving anywhere now, and if the rain has clearly it should be bright and sunny, but with showers, also with warmer air again, 18'C.
And from then on, the signal is that there will be more warm air trying to get into the south-east of the UK, with low pressure slow-moving to the north-west. So a mixed feel to the first half of May.
'THE DAY' should start off cloudy with perhaps a little light patchy rain, but it will brighten up and warm up - though this may trigger off a few showers, 19'C if you are lucky with sunshine, 17'C if not so lucky.
Saturday sees low pressure to the south, high to the north, with easterly winds over much of England. Showers to the south and west - Reading should be too far north and therefore stay dry, it may reach 21'C, though 19'C is more realistic.
Sunday sees only subtle changes, more cloud, again a chance of a shower, probably only 18'C - unless it does turn out to be sunny, but I am expecting cloud to be more likely.
Monday looks a bit more favourable for sunshine, but still plenty of cloud potential and slight shower potential, 18'C. I would not be surprised though if it turned out better than the current forecast - the very warm air is still over France and it would not take too much to change things markedly for the better.
Tuesday, the low pressure which has been very slowly developing to the west of the UK over the weekend will start to form more and progress towards the UK, rain in the west but Reading should be fine and dry, but cooler air, 16'C.
Wednesday looks likely to see some rain at some point, as the low pressure moves slightly further eastwards towards Ireland. 15'C.
Thursday, low pressure still to the west of Ireland, not really moving anywhere now, and if the rain has clearly it should be bright and sunny, but with showers, also with warmer air again, 18'C.
And from then on, the signal is that there will be more warm air trying to get into the south-east of the UK, with low pressure slow-moving to the north-west. So a mixed feel to the first half of May.
Monday 25 April 2011
Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 25th April 2011
I do hope that you appreciate this weather forecast, it is coming after the odd beer and a little bit of sunshine, and is therefore taking up more of my resources than usual, but I love doing my forecasts - so here goes.
It may be a case of that we have had the best weather that we are going to have for a while, in Reading, we reached 26.1'C on Saturday.
Tuesday will be fair, more cloud than recent days but still some sun, 17'C but that is noticeably less than we have been used to.
Wednesday I see more sunshine than cloud, 18'C perhaps.
Thursday I will be quite cloudy, perhaps with a light shower, but some sunny breaks too, 16'C.
Friday - the day of the Royal Wedding - 18'C may be reached, but I am pretty sure that there will be a shower or two.
Saturday should be a touch warmer, perhaps 19'C but again more showers are quite possible.
Sunday looks a little more like typical bank holiday weather, some sunshine, but some showers, 16'C.
I think the outlook is downhill. More rain, less sun, and less warmth. But I believe that we need this pattern to happen for a good summer.
Remember 2006? Brilliant April, but disappointing May and June, followed by scorching July and August...
That is what I am thinking.
It may be a case of that we have had the best weather that we are going to have for a while, in Reading, we reached 26.1'C on Saturday.
Tuesday will be fair, more cloud than recent days but still some sun, 17'C but that is noticeably less than we have been used to.
Wednesday I see more sunshine than cloud, 18'C perhaps.
Thursday I will be quite cloudy, perhaps with a light shower, but some sunny breaks too, 16'C.
Friday - the day of the Royal Wedding - 18'C may be reached, but I am pretty sure that there will be a shower or two.
Saturday should be a touch warmer, perhaps 19'C but again more showers are quite possible.
Sunday looks a little more like typical bank holiday weather, some sunshine, but some showers, 16'C.
I think the outlook is downhill. More rain, less sun, and less warmth. But I believe that we need this pattern to happen for a good summer.
Remember 2006? Brilliant April, but disappointing May and June, followed by scorching July and August...
That is what I am thinking.
Thursday 21 April 2011
Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 21st April 2011
You will be pleased to hear that there is plenty more very warm, warm or quite warm weather to come, with just a chance of a shower and plenty of sunshine. There are indications of a change during next weekend, we shall see. By the way, it is pissing it down with rain over most of Spain this weekend, and much less warm than here, he he!
It has reached 25'C here in sunny Reading for the first time this year.
My forecast is as thus:
Friday will again be sunny, very warm, cloud will bubble up and there is a slight chance of an afternoon shower, possibly thundery, 23'C - maybe 25'C if you are lucky.
Saturday will start sunny but cloud will build up quickly I think and some thunderstorms will break out, most people will experience dry and very warm, quite humid weather conditions, but a few will get a downpour which could last a couple of hours, 23'C to possibly 27'C.
Sunday should cool down to around 21'C, it should start sunny but cloud will build up and there is again the potential for a shower or two.
Monday, the wind will come from the east and bring quite a lot of cloud, but it will still be warm, 19'C. There could be some sunshine eventually, equally there could also be a shower but less likely than the previous couple of days.
The mid-part of next week looks more likely to be cloudy with some bits of rain possible, temperatures around 16'C to 18'C which is still pretty good. But the warmth to the south is very close so this could be upgraded quite easily.
Royal wedding day is currently looking fine and 18'C.
Though I currently suspect that the second of our bank holiday weekends will revert to the usual wet type.
It has reached 25'C here in sunny Reading for the first time this year.
My forecast is as thus:
Friday will again be sunny, very warm, cloud will bubble up and there is a slight chance of an afternoon shower, possibly thundery, 23'C - maybe 25'C if you are lucky.
Saturday will start sunny but cloud will build up quickly I think and some thunderstorms will break out, most people will experience dry and very warm, quite humid weather conditions, but a few will get a downpour which could last a couple of hours, 23'C to possibly 27'C.
Sunday should cool down to around 21'C, it should start sunny but cloud will build up and there is again the potential for a shower or two.
Monday, the wind will come from the east and bring quite a lot of cloud, but it will still be warm, 19'C. There could be some sunshine eventually, equally there could also be a shower but less likely than the previous couple of days.
The mid-part of next week looks more likely to be cloudy with some bits of rain possible, temperatures around 16'C to 18'C which is still pretty good. But the warmth to the south is very close so this could be upgraded quite easily.
Royal wedding day is currently looking fine and 18'C.
Though I currently suspect that the second of our bank holiday weekends will revert to the usual wet type.
Monday 18 April 2011
Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 18th April 2011
As much as I might enjoy extreme weather, it really does put a smile on my face when I can forecast really good weather. I am enjoying my forecasts at the moment!
I have to say that I didn't expect the first half of April to be as warm and dry as it has been, though I did expect it to warm up in the second half with the potential of some heavy showers. I will be part right on this, if not fully right - the uncertainty is with the chance of rain - the certainty is that there is going be to some nice warm weather coming up.
We might reach 25'C. It could even be the warmest ever April for average temperatures (that is the average for the whole month, not the highest ever temperature).
Tuesday will be sunny, the source of the warmth is again coming from a much warmer than usual Spain, which is the effect of the big plume of hot air I have been talking about for weeks. Some cloud will bubble up and there is a 10% chance of a shower in the late afternoon, but at 22'C - it will feel super!
Wednesday will again be very warm, and sunny, some bits of cloud in the afternoon but at 23'C (or maybe more if you are very lucky) this will not matter. Again a tiniest chance that there could be a shower.
Thursday will see the wind pick up a little from the south, again 23'C, sunny, tiny chance of a shower, and if you do get one it could be thundery.
Friday, the same! Yes! Mainly sunny, tiny chance of a thundery shower, and around 23'C.
Saturday sees the wind swing to the east - but fear not as countries to the east of the UK like Netherlands and Belgium are also enjoying this so we will just import their warmth, although perhaps more cloud, but yet it might be 25'C. Again, small chance of a thundery shower.
Sunday I expect to be sunnier, but feeling a little fresher, 22'C, still very nice.
Monday still to be sunny but with the easterly now fetching in winds from a colder than usual Eastern Europe and Russia, it will be down to 17'C.
I expect something a little more unsettled during the week, but then probably warming up in time for the next bank holiday weekend for the Royal Wedding.
Enjoy! It may well be quite wet and cool in May, at least for a week or so at the beginning, we shall see.
I have to say that I didn't expect the first half of April to be as warm and dry as it has been, though I did expect it to warm up in the second half with the potential of some heavy showers. I will be part right on this, if not fully right - the uncertainty is with the chance of rain - the certainty is that there is going be to some nice warm weather coming up.
We might reach 25'C. It could even be the warmest ever April for average temperatures (that is the average for the whole month, not the highest ever temperature).
Tuesday will be sunny, the source of the warmth is again coming from a much warmer than usual Spain, which is the effect of the big plume of hot air I have been talking about for weeks. Some cloud will bubble up and there is a 10% chance of a shower in the late afternoon, but at 22'C - it will feel super!
Wednesday will again be very warm, and sunny, some bits of cloud in the afternoon but at 23'C (or maybe more if you are very lucky) this will not matter. Again a tiniest chance that there could be a shower.
Thursday will see the wind pick up a little from the south, again 23'C, sunny, tiny chance of a shower, and if you do get one it could be thundery.
Friday, the same! Yes! Mainly sunny, tiny chance of a thundery shower, and around 23'C.
Saturday sees the wind swing to the east - but fear not as countries to the east of the UK like Netherlands and Belgium are also enjoying this so we will just import their warmth, although perhaps more cloud, but yet it might be 25'C. Again, small chance of a thundery shower.
Sunday I expect to be sunnier, but feeling a little fresher, 22'C, still very nice.
Monday still to be sunny but with the easterly now fetching in winds from a colder than usual Eastern Europe and Russia, it will be down to 17'C.
I expect something a little more unsettled during the week, but then probably warming up in time for the next bank holiday weekend for the Royal Wedding.
Enjoy! It may well be quite wet and cool in May, at least for a week or so at the beginning, we shall see.
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