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Welcome to my weather blog. I produce two weather forecasts per week, normally Monday and Thursday evening, and also put links to any other interesting weather information, and crazy weather videos that I discover. The forecast is based on my expectations for the Reading area, UK. If you want a forecast for your area, please e-mail me or comment below the blog post.

Friday 30 March 2012

Snow Update - 30th March 2012

There is now a 40% chance of some snow on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning in Reading.

I rate the chance of snow as high as 50% for Easter weekend, most notably on Easter Sunday or Monday.

As you go further north, the chances are higher.

Thursday 29 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 29th March 2012

And the fat lady sings tomorrow.

Whilst there will be some more sunny days to come - you will need a jacket, and maybe a coat.
There is rain or showers to come too...and maybe some snow.  Maybe.
And almost certainly some frost.

Goodbye summer - see you in a month.

Tonight sees the subtle change as the breeze swings round to the north, mostly clear and definitely dry, 5'C.
Friday will see more sunshine but I do think there is a 20-30% chance of a couple of showers developing - stay dry and sunny and 16'C is yours, but be unlucky and catch a shower or two then 12'C may be your destiny.
Saturday will be cloudy with some light rain or drizzle at times, 12'C and a frost overnight, down to a chilly -2'C.
Sunday will be sunny, but only around 11'C, again cold with a frost overnight, down to -2'C.
Monday will start sunny and it might even reach a pleasant 15'C with a bit of luck, but rain is coming down from the north overnight, 5'C at night.
Tuesday will see rain for much of the morning, 10'C in the rain but becoming cooler when it clears, most likely during the afternoon.  Quite a frost overnight, down to -3'C.
Wednesday looks sunny, 10'C so still chilly and it could get down to -4'C overnight.
Thursday also looks sunny with more normal temperatures, around 13'C.

Friday might hang onto something reasonable before it all goes downhill with northerly blasts and rain or showers - with possibly something wintry (almost definitely for northern England and Scotland) but here in Reading...you know the score by now, snow doesn't often come off.

Don't blame the weather for a crap Easter forecast - blame the moon cycle - or religion.

Monday 26 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 26th March 2012

It reached 19.9'C in Reading on Saturday, the highest of the year here so far...you may be amused to hear that it was a paltry 14'C in Shoreditch when I arrived there on Saturday...but the nightclub was hot!

High pressure to remain in charge but turning much cooler for the weekend and somewhat more unsettled.  Remember - I said there was no chance of April 2012 repeating the glorious April 2011.

Here we go:

Tonight will be clear and chilly, down to 2'C.
Tuesday will be sunny and clear again, up to 18-19'C, chilly overnight, perhaps down to 1'C.
Wednesday will be sunny and clear, maybe 20'C.  A little more cloud overnight, around 5'C.
Thursday sees more in the way of cloud but still should be some good sunny spells, a northerly breeze developing, 17'C by day, 6'C by night.
Friday will be the above average day, there will be sunny spells but the odd light shower will be possible, 30% chance, 16'C by day, 7'C overnight.
Saturday will be cooler, around 13'C with showers developing widely, a frost possible overnight, down to 0'C.
Sunday is currently most likely to be fair and dry, around 12'C.

The week following will likely be a mix of sunshine and showers.

Easter currently looks chilly with the chance of wintry showers.  Oh yeah, you heard it here first.

Thursday 22 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 22nd March 2012

I know I said my last weather forecast was possibly going to be my last regular forecast however it got 29 readers which is a bit more like it - it makes it worth the amount of time I spend on it, and I do spend time on it - every day, a minimum of twice a day I am studying charts, etc.

Granted 3 of the readers came via www.buygenericsfromindia.com.

We reached 18'C today in Reading - and it should go a little higher in the next couple of days - I am happy to put a bet on 20'C being reached.

Remember - I told you this 10 days ago.  Did anyone else tell you?

I don't claim to get every single detail spot on - the professionals cannot and neither can I.  But I do like to believe that I provide something better for the people of Reading and the surrounding area than other widely available "forecasts".

Rant over, have some weather:

Tonight will be cloudy with a small chance of a shower, 6'C.
Friday may start cloudy but the sun will come out and it should reach 18'C in good sunny spells, a 20% chance of a shower later in the afternoon, 6'C overnight.
Saturday will see good sunny spells, some cloud around.  I am hopeful of 20'C being reached.  6'C overnight.
Sunday will be cloudier but there will still be sunny spells and 17'C is quite possible.  5'C overnight.
Monday will be sunnier but more of an easterly than the southerly of the last few days so a touch cooler at 16'C and possibly down to 3'C overnight.

Tuesday and Wednesday will both be sunny days up to 17'C or 18'C.

I've said it before and I will say it again - April 2012 will not be a repeat of the beautiful April 2011.  Which is a good thing in my book as another glorious spring will probably curse summer.

I would currently say there is a 50% chance of a northerly setting in by the end of March, bringing, yes, you guessed it - wintry showers.

Either way I expect roughly the first 15-20 days of April to be much cooler than now, and also more unsettled with some hefty showers.

Keep reading and I might keep doing forecasts :-)

Sunday 18 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Sunday 19th March 2012

What is this?  A Sunday weather forecast?

Well I have been struggling with time-management recently.  My weather forecasts are possible one of the things that I might have to cull because with an audience of about 5 readers then I think they are probably a luxury in my life and I might have to put my regular weather forecasts to bed, to concentrate on other priorities in life.

There will be no getting me out of my addiction of trying to forecast the weather, and I will still likely post from time to time, and will try my hardest to make any forecasts that are requested of me, however if I do blog any forecasts in the future, it will be just for my own purposes, to remind myself of what I previously forecasted.

So, maybe for the final time:

Tonight will be chilly and may even see a frost, down to -1'C.
Monday will be a boring and cloudy day, odd bit of brightness, odd light shower is also possible, 11'C, down to 2'C overnight.
Tuesday sees high pressure re-asserting itself, though still mostly cloudy, 13'C in any brightness, around 4'C overnight.
Wednesday will see more in the way of sunshine, maybe a 15'C if you are lucky, around 6'C overnight, still plenty of areas of cloud though.
Thursday a touch cloudier than the day before but with the winds from the south, and in fact all the way from Africa, it will feel quite warm around 15'C and higher if more sun than I currently expect.  Around 6'C overnight.
Friday currently looks cloudy and damp, though confidence is not high, around 14'C.

And that should set us up for a nice weekend and we may even see something around 17-18'C at the weekend if we get enough sunshine and keep our fingers crossed.

Thanks for reading.

Thursday 15 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 15th March 2012

It was mistier and not as sunny this week as I was expecting - and temperatures suffered a bit too.

Time for a bit of rain:

Tonight will be cloudy with some mist and fog patches again developing, down to around 2'C.
Friday will be mostly cloudy, the odd spot of drizzle around, 10'C - a couple of degrees higher if the sun comes out for an hour in the early afternoon.  5'C overnight.
Saturday sees low pressure developing with an area of rain coming up from the south from morning onwards, it will be fairly heavy and 6-10 hours of continuous rain is quite possible.  The worst of the rain should clear around 6pm, give or take.  The band of rain won't be that wide, say around 100 miles, so go far enough east or west and you will stay dry.  A chilly 8'C in the rain and a touch of frost if the skies clear for long enough overnight, 0'C.
Sunday will be brighter but with a 50% chance of a couple of showers, particularly in the afternoon, 10'C perhaps - down to -2'C overnight with a frost.
Monday will start sunny but may cloud over later, dry, 11'C.  A frost is possible overnight.

Next week will be dry, with some sunshine, but overnight frosts and some patches of fog.

Temperatures should improve during the week and should end up above average for the time of year again at around 15'C by the weekend - far lower than I was originally hoping for next weekend however the high pressure looks to be having more of an easterly or south-easterly wind rather than southerly, and the continent ain't that warm yet.

But next weekend should be pleasant.  Certainly much nicer than this coming weekend.

Don't expect a repeat of April 2011 next month though.  I am expecting a fairly unsettled month, at least for the first half.

Monday 12 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 12th March 2012

The last forecast was a bit rubbish wasn’t it?  I really didn’t have the time to spend on it.  This one is better.

Not only have I put much more effort and time into it, it is full of nice surprises - even for farmers.


The most important thing to state is that it is very uncertain how much cloud there will be each day.  I'll give the likeliest scenario and associated temperature but please remember for each day that if the sun comes out earlier than I am currently forecasting then add a few degrees to the forecasted temperature, equally knock a few off if it stays cloudy all day.

Tonight will see the cloud increase with some mist and fog patches around, potentially as low as 1'C.
Tuesday will start cloudy, possibly misty, there is a 50% chance of the sun breaking through.  11'C if cloudy, 16'C with a few hours of sunshine.  Cloudy overnight, 4'C.
Wednesday will again start cloudy but there is a 75% chance of the sun breaking through, temperatures will be between 12'C and 17'C depending on sunshine amounts.  4'C overnight.
Thursday will again likely start cloudy but I am 90% confident of a reasonable amount of sunshine and as such hopeful of reaching 18'C.  Around 5'C overnight.
Friday should actually start sunny but cloud and patchy light rain will be approaching from the west as the weather changes just in time for the weekend.  15'C quite possible.

The weekend sees an area of low pressure developing over the south of England and there will be localised areas of possibly quite heavy rain.  It will be localised and as such if you get one it will likely last several hours - but 30 miles away could stay dry and even bright all day.  I will know more detail by Thursday's forecast - but expect a wet and cooler weekend.  It wouldn't even be impossible for a repeat of the other Sunday's wet snow but very, very unlikely at this stage.

Unsettled for a few days after but then maybe, just maybe something quite special to make up for the coming disappointing weekend...

I am hopeful that the weekend after this will see a plume of very warm air coming from the equator region, it is not definite but I am 60% confident.  We could see temperatures up to 21’C widely which is very good for March (25'C being the record), possibly 23'C.

The potential is quite exceptional but it is only currently the most likely solution as opposed to the definite solution - way too far away!

Keep hoping :-)

Friday 9 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Friday 9th March 2012

Apologies but I do not have the time this week to do a proper forecast but thankfully the weather is going to be quite simple this next week or so in that there is a big fat area of high pressure over the UK.

So it will be dry all weekend, well into next week.

It will also be mild.

The tricky question is just how cloudy it will be each day.

If the sun comes out then Saturday could reach 16'C, Sunday 15'C, and Monday to Thursday up to 18'C.

If the sun comes out.

However if it stays cloudy then don't expect any better than 10'C to 12'C.

I am currently expecting it to be cooler and more unsettled towards next weekend but there is no guarantee that will happen.

As I said, apologies that it isn't a more detailed forecast but it is the best I can do in 5 minutes!

Monday 5 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 5th March 2012

I am much happier with my previous forecast and as such I have two lovely photos for you:


One never tires of photos of sunsets or rainbows.

I doubt that is the last of our wintry weather this year, as I previously stated I am expecting a changeable March, but changing for the good at the moment.

Tonight will be clear with a touch of frost, down to -1'C.
Tuesday will start sunny, but it will cloud over with some patchy rain later in the evening and overnight, 9'C by day and 6'C overnight, becoming breezy.
Wednesday will be wet and windy to start as a band of rain crosses, the rain most prominent for around 3-4 hours mid-morning to mid-afternoon, clearing to fresher weather, 11'C by day, 1'C at night.
Thursday will be fairly cloudy, a few sunny breaks though and the odd light shower possible, 10'C by day, 5'C by night.
Friday looks mostly cloudy at around 10'C but in any sunshine if lucky it could rise to 13'C.  5'C overnight.
Saturday looks like seeing high pressure building and with the breeze from the south, it could reach a very pleasant 16'C with enough sunshine - lower if it stays cloudy but I am betting on a fair amount of sunshine.  5'C overnight.
Sunday again looks promising for sunshine, and again quite possibly up to 16'C.

Enjoy.

Friday 2 March 2012

Updated Weather Forecast - Friday 2nd March 2012

I have to admit, my last forecast was not my best.  I let my heart rule my head.  It was not as sunny, nor as warm as I forecasted for this week, I do apologise.

Though on the flip side I have long been talking about more cold weather during March with the potential for snow and it is about to turn cold again.

Tonight will be cloudy and damp with some drizzle developing, and a good chance of fog forming - not everywhere though.  Around 7'C.
Saturday will see a band of rain passing through in the morning followed by sunshine and showers, 12'C.  4'C overnight.
Sunday sees a very interesting area of low pressure over the south of England, with a significant amount of rain which I expect to be heavy and persistant, and as it stalls over the south of England it will drag in an easterly wind and overnight the rain will likely turn to snow over the hills - very unlikely to turn to snow in Reading but you just never know.  A thoroughly miserable day with probably more rain than we saw in the whole of February put together.  7'C at best, down to 0'C overnight.
Monday sees the low pressure sink south towards France.  It will be cloudy all day, and there may still be some rain (or possibly sleet or snow) at times especially early in the day.  Feeling cold at 4'C, 2'C overnight.
Tuesday sees high pressure building, it should be dry but will be mostly cloudy I expect, 7'C.  0'C overnight with a touch of frost.
Wednesday will be mostly dry and cloudy, milder at around 11'C, a little light rain possible.

I am expecting a topsy-turvy March.

It will swing from milder than average, perhaps even warm at times, to cold with wintry showers, within the space of a few days.  Apart from this coming Sunday, I am not expecting much in the way of rainfall.

The main influences will be brief northerly blasts of cold showery wintry air, attempted easterlies which may bring significant snow but will probably not happen, and long-fetch south-westerlies bring mild and dry weather, and at times sunshine.

I do not currently see a repeat of last April's gloriousness.  I feel this April will be cool and showery for the first half but warming up nicely towards the end.

May I feel will start off with good sunny warm weather, though I expect more rain in the second half.

Remember, it could be worse - you could be in Australia with the floods and we have been warmer than Cyprus.