Sunday 3rd February 2013

Tonight will be cloudy, dry and mild, 9'C.

Monday will also be fairly cloudy but some sunny spells, 8'C, 4'C overnight.

Tuesday will be cold and windy, with some showers, and these could fall as snow. Any snowfall is likely to be transient and melt quickly. 4'C by day, 2'C by night. I have a feeling that I may have to update this forecast nearer the time.

Wednesday will feel colder in the northerly wind, albeit possibly not be as cold at 5'C, wintry showers are possible but sunshine is the main story. A frost overnight as the wind dies down, down to -1'C.

Thursday and Friday, the coldish air will still be in place, it should be fairly sunny, around 4'C with a frost overnight, down to -2'C or perhaps even lower.

The weekend looks interesting with a battle between cold air to the east trying to build, and milder Atlantic weather wanting to bring rain back in - and as we saw many times in January this battleground brings lots of snow potential - and of course lots of forecasting headaches.

Currently I do not feel the synoptics are right for a prolonger cold spell and that any snow this coming weekend will be quickly replaced by another spell of milder and wetter weather - it depends on how well entrenched the cold gets this week, I would say there is a 30% chance of this coming cold spell lasting.