Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 8th December 2011

Sometimes I feel the need to remind you that I am quite good at this forecasting lark - two weeks ago I said the following:


I am still thinking that there will be some kind of northerly incursion, roughly between 3rd December and 8th December.

But I would be shocked if there was any more than a passing moment of wintryness.

Come the 9th December, it will be back to wind and rain.  And plenty more.


Well, we had the northerly incursion, at the beginning of the week and now we are back to wind and rain - and it is rather stormy in Scotland.  Ok it is the 8th as opposed to the 9th but I am pretty chuffed.


I wouldn't be surprised if this time next week there was something fairly stormy for England.  The chances are quite high.


So, more wind and rain for the next week or so before high pressure eventually settles it down for frost and fog in time for Christmas (I am sure the airports will love a bit of fog just before Christmas!).


A quick photo of the A4 in Reading first:

Tonight will see the approaching rain band clear quite quickly, followed by clearer skies and much colder temperatures than today, potentially down to 0'C, in a cold wind.
Friday will see a ridge of high pressure, mostly sunny, some clouds with a 30% chance of a passing light shower, cool at 7'C and cold overnight, down to -2'C with a frost.  Coldest night of the season so far.
Saturday again will be sunny, but cold at only 5'C.  A frost initially overnight at 0'C but increasing cloud will mean that it will likely clear before sunrise.
Sunday will be cloudy with a band of rain during the middle part of the day for a few hours, 7'C by day, 0'C overnight as the cloud clears, so yet another slight frost.
Monday sees the next deep area of low pressure approach Scotland, bringing gales potentially even to Reading, and a band of heavy rain for later in the afternoon and all through the evening, it could in fact be very heavy rain.  7'C by day and night...maybe a little milder overnight.
Tuesday will remain windy with an 80% chance of showers or longer outbreaks of rain, nowhere near as much as Monday though.  8'C by day, 2'C by night.
Wednesday again windy, rain or showers crossing for all areas, 7'C by day, 2'C by night.


Thursday into Friday has the potential for a nasty area of low pressure over the south of England - it is too far away to be certain, I will be able to confirm on Monday.  This is the thing I am very much keeping an eye on.


High pressure building around 20th December.


Have fun.