I think you can tell it is autumn, but autumn does have more than one weather style.
Those milky skies - yes that is the sign of the first real autumn storm approaching.
Tonight you will notice the increasing wind, but it will remain mild, 14'C.
Tuesday the rain will arrive in the early hours of the morning and will not leave until very late in the day, it will be heavy at times, equally there will be lighter patches, and it will be windy, possibly gale force in the morning. 18'C. Not that temperature will be important.
Wednesday will be breezy with a westerly wind and plenty of showers, they won't too long, there will be the odd bit of sunshine but distinctly autumnal, 16'C.
Thursday will be noticeably warmer at around 20'C but no sunshine, instead more wind and cloudy skies, with some rain likely on and off during the day. Very mild overnight - 17'C.
Friday will continue mostly cloudy with some showers in the breeze, if it stays cloudy then 22'C but with a bit of sun anything up to 25'C is possible. 23'C being the most likely.
Remember - I did say Hurricane Irene would affect our weather!
And I have just had three pints so this next part might not be so accurate - or it might be exceptionally so?
Saturday looks most likely to see low pressure coming from the south-west with an area of rain, still warm around 20'C. Not exactly sure where the location it will hit, but if you are in the south, expect a period of rain.
Sunday looks like the next area of low pressure will be over Scotland, with high pressure building over France, so expect some showers but a bit of brightness at last, fresher, 18'C.
Monday might end up warm, dry and sunny at 24'C. Though 30% chance that it might rain instead.
More rain quite possible on Tuesday but I am hopeful of some more warm and sunny weather after.
I do expect quite a bit of dry weather towards the latter half of September (with perhaps a surprise early frost), and especially more dry weather likely as we head into October, with some much warmer air than normal quite possible for a week around the beginning or into the middle.
The latter half of October and into November I expect more autumnal storm systems, and probably some quite potent ones with severe gales at times and plenty of persistent rain. It may initially bring in a brief cold snap at the end of October before it really gets going.
Then winter begins...cold and dry at first, at least in the south, some areas getting some very heavy snowfall but Reading should miss out on the worst of it this time.
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Welcome to my weather blog. I produce two weather forecasts per week, normally Monday and Thursday evening, and also put links to any other interesting weather information, and crazy weather videos that I discover. The forecast is based on my expectations for the Reading area, UK. If you want a forecast for your area, please e-mail me or comment below the blog post.
Monday, 5 September 2011
Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 5th September 2011
Labels:
Autumn Forecast,
Updated Weather Forecast
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