Updated Weather Forecast - Friday 28th October 2011

I probably have the best weather photo ever today for you:

Thanks once again to Martin.

Little has changed in my forecast.

It should brighten up during Friday, it will be dry, 14'C.  Mild overnight at 11'C.
Saturday will see a breeze picking up with quite a bit of cloud, 15'C, some rain overnight but mild again at 13'C.
Sunday a similar story, more cloud than sun but warm in any sunshine at 17'C.  Some rain overnight again but mild, 14'C.
Monday mostly cloudy but mild again, 15'C, and more rain in the evening or overnight, which could be heavy, 7'C after the rain clears.
Tuesday sees an area oh high pressure, so dry and sunny, 13'C, 8'C overnight.

Remaining unsettled until around 10th November with rain at times and also windy at times.

Updated Weather Forecast - Tuesday 25th October 2011

The good news is that it is going to be mostly mild for the next week or two.  Not as mild as Sunday just gone though which reached 19'C.

The bad news is that you will increasingly need an umbrella.

I did try to take a photo of a puddle last night but my phone camera is crap in the dark.

Tuesday will see low pressure to the west of Ireland still, it should be fairly bright but there is a good chance of a couple of showers which may well be on the heavy side, 15'C though a chillier 6'C overnight.
Wednesday sees low pressure to the west of Ireland and one developing towards Cornwall too, sunny spells will be the main theme with again a 50-60% chance of a shower or too, again possibly heavy, 14'C during the day, 10'C at night.
Thursday sees low pressure to the south over northern France, which means a mostly cloudy day with some outbreaks of rain, some of which will be heavy.  It will be of a showery nature so some places will be fairly dry, others get a soaking.  10'C to 14'C depending on how wet, 7'C overnight.
Friday sees a ridge of high pressure building, so dry, sunny with a few clouds, 15'C quite possible, 7'C overnight.
Saturday has more of a south-westerly breeze bringing more cloud, and perhaps a band of rain later in the evening or overnight, a mild 16'C and mild still overnight around 11'C.
Sunday still breezy but more in the way of sunshine and mostly dry, again a band of rain likely overnight as more low pressure approaches.  16'C by day, 11'C by night.

I expect it to remain mostly unsettled for a while, maybe some short-lived cooler spells during the first part of November but nothing significant likely.

Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 20th October 2011

Bored of the cold already?  Then you will like my forecast.

As quite often happens, the UK is playing host to a weather battleground - this time we have a strong area of high pressure to the east over Europe, and milder but wet weather trying to push in from the Atlantic.

Had it been much colder, then there would be a good chance of snow - and this kind of set-up is how I think we will get the majority of our wintry weather this winter...in January and February.  I still think December is most likely to be mild.

It was 11.6'C today in Reading, and was a chilly 1.2'C at the minimum this morning.

Tonight won't be quite as cold as mild air is spreading from the west, but it will still be chilly around 3'C.
Friday will feel much better, with a southerly wind forming, albeit taking air from a chilly continent so not quite the heat source it was a few weeks ago, but it will feel less cold at 14'C and there should be some sunny spells, some cloud too though.  8'C overnight.
Saturday should be gloriously sunny, still only 14'C though.
Sunday should remain sunny again, a band of rain is trying to push in from the west but it will decay by time it gets anywhere near Reading and maybe even pushed back west so those of us in Reading should stay sunny and you might feel rather warm at 18'C, ooh!
Monday and a new band of rain tries to come in from the south-west but again is being held back, and it should again stay mostly sunny in Reading, perhaps clouding over later, 17'C quite possible.
Monday night and into Tuesday morning will see this band of rain crossing, so expect a fair few hours of rain, 14'C on Tuesday as it brightens up in the afternoon with the odd shower possible to follow.


The rest of the week should remain mild, though there will likely be some more spells of rain, nothing too significant but enough.

Not too bad I think.

Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 17th October 2011

The jet-stream is raging right above the UK, and those of you who know me well, may be aware that I believe that it affects more than just the weather, it affects emotions too.  I am waiting to be proved incorrect.  I am not yet certain of causality.

The UK looks set to become a battleground, once again, so forecasting is very difficult at the moment so I may need to make more regular updates.

Monday night will see squally winds and the potential for a short period of very heavy rain, though it may die out by time it gets to Reading, very difficult to know for sure, but most people in the area should get some rain, some much more than others, a mild night at 12'C.
Tuesday sees the introduction of this much colder air, windy, with blustery showers, 11'C but feeling much colder than that.  Chilly overnight.
Wednesday sees a ridge of high pressure trying to push in from the south-west, it will be fine but feeling cold at maybe only 9'C - overnight, don't be surprised if you are scraping some frost in the early morning, as it may get down to 0'C...be prepared!
Thursday, chilly but calm, 10'C, sunny too, though there may be some mist or fog to clear.  It might not be quite as cold overnight this time.

It is a strange meteorological situation at the moment, a very fluid one, so apologies for the lack of definition of the medium-term weather.

Anything really could happen, from a proper autumn storm, to a bizarre wintry blast from the east, or maybe a long settled spell of high pressure?

I don't think we are going to know for definite for a couple of days, but it could map out the autumn.

I will do my best to keep you posted on my thoughts.

By the way, the body is most susceptible to illnesses during changes of temperature, ie from hot to cold, like we are going through now, so I think I am going to stock up on oranges, etc to keep me healthy, I don't want lots of colds and stuff like last year, yuck.

I do personally believe that we are more likely to get an early short sharp winter attack in late October or during November but then something much milder and wet and windy until around Christmas time - January and February I feel are more likely for snow and cold this year, but we shall see.

2013 and 2014 I think will be the really cold winters, either this one or the next one might be a little milder than likely.

Updated Weather Forecast - Friday 14th October 2011

Some time ago I hinted that it may turn wintry towards the end of October, and it seems from the media that many weather organisations also think this is going to happen.

It isn't especially unusual, it snowed one late October evening a couple of years ago, I recall.

I am not promising snow, but I am still convinced that there is a cold spell to end October.

After a few Atlantic storms have passed through.

Another lovely photo from my good friend, Martin, I hope that the next photos I have for you will not be so nice...the good part of autumn has finished, the shitty part is beginning.

For now, the focus is on rain, wind, and just how much...after a significant drop in temperature.

Saturday sees the UK stuck between two areas of high pressure, one to our east, one to our south-west, which will allow for a pleasant sunny day, after a chilly start, 16'C will feel quite nice.
Sunday will see a band of rain approaching from the north-west but it will die out by time it reaches Reading, there may be some spits and spots, a chilly start to the day again but it will rise to maybe 17'C but you won't see much sunshine during most of the day.
Monday will be fresher and there will be a noticeable wind, and perhaps a few showers and a band of rain is likely later in the day, probably overnight, 14'C.
Tuesday will feel cold once any early rain has cleared, with a north-westerly wind, and some showers are again possible, 11'C at best but feeling colder, possibly down to 2'C overnight.
Wednesday sees high pressure building from the south-west for a short while, so a more settled day, less wind but still quite cold, 10'C, and another cold night, 2'C again possible.
Thursday should be reasonably pleasant but the next low pressure is approaching so it could finish with rain, 12'C, less of a cold feel.


And from then I think we will have a week of very strong winds at times, some long periods of rain, day after day.

Hello Autumn.

By the way, I almost forgot to mention, that for the first half of October, we are about 5'C above the average temperature.  Quite ridiculous.

Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 10th October 2011

Busy, busy, busy, and I am afraid that I do not have any photographs either.

The weather will get busy soon, but for now it is still quite peaceful, at least for those of us in the south, in Reading, where my forecasts are based on.

We have another ex-hurricane to affect our weather, I think it is Philippe, it is heading to the west of Iceland so no wind and rain for us, but it is the air masses that they affect as we saw with the last two hurricanes.

So, yes, it is going to get warmer.  At some point the hurricanes will stop messing around with the flow of Atlantic storms and the storms will come back to us...probably not too far away, maybe in 7-10 days.

Tuesday sees high pressure trying to build from the south but at the same time cold weather coming down from the north, which will create rain over the north of England, maybe the midlands, but the south will stay mostly dry, but mostly cloudy, 19'C.
Wednesday sees high pressure taking more influence but the wet weather does push down a bit further south, so I am expecting more sunshine on Wednesday but also the chance of some bits of rain at times, and it should feel warm in the sun at 20'C.  Unless you are unlucky and it stays cloudy and damp then it might stay at 16'C.
Thursday sees high pressure really building to the east, I expect a lot of sunshine, some clouds, 18'C is the most likely temperature.
Friday should be quite gloriously sunny, though there may be some early mist or fog to clear, and therefore it might only reach 16'C and be quite chilly overnight too.
Saturday again likely to be sunny after some early mist or fog, 15'C and possibly close to zero overnight so a touch of frost possible.
Sunday something similar before the Atlantic storms start arriving...which may only last a week or 10 days before becoming calm again...we shall see.

Autumnal.

Updated Weather Forecast - Friday 7th October 2011

Good to see the Met Office are upping their game, and have published a page showing that they predicted the exceptionally warm spell on 23rd September.

I shall just repost a link to my forecast of 22nd September.

Forgive me for a celebrating the accuracy of my forecasts, it does give me pleasure and I do try my hardest for all of my readers.


Saturday sees high pressure trying to nudge in again, but it will be mostly cloudy and still quite cool, 14'C, chance of a light shower or two in the afternoon but nothing much.
Sunday does again look mostly cloudy but we will have warmer air again, 18'C, maybe more if the sun breaks out.
Monday again has a lot of cloud around but if the sun does break through in the south, which it could well do, 20'C is possible.
Tuesday, plenty of cloud potential again, dry, 18'C.
Wednesday, I am more hopeful of sunshine, 19'C.
Thursday should also be dry, pleasant and rather sunny, 18'C.

Maybe getting colder for the weekend.

So, not too bad at all.  That was an easy forecast!  You haven't seen the last 20'C day yet :-)

Updated Weather Forecast - 3rd October 2011

Well that was a bit good, wasn't it?  If only it would be like that during the summer months, though I really do not think we are far away from having 2-3 summers in a row which are just dry and gloriously sunny...it will happen during this decade I believe, and sooner rather than later.  We shall see.

Another excellent sunset photo from my friend Martin - this isn't a photo duopoly, I will happily publish any weather photo that is sent as long as it fits.

The scenery will certainly look fantastic this autumn, there will be some excellent opportunities for the photographers out there.

Tuesday will have a much different feel to it, much more cloud, temperatures around 18'C, a spot or two of rain is possible, as are some brighter spells too.
Wednesday will be increasingly windy, plenty of cloud but a bit more sunshine than the day before and should still feel quite pleasant at 19'C.  A band of rain overnight, heralds much cooler air.
Thursday is a case of sunshine and showers, in a chilly north-westerly wind, 13'C the most likely temperature which is quite a drop from what we have become used to, I doubt there will be many showers reaching Reading and they won't be that heavy, more kind of horrid blustery in your face kind of showers.
Friday sees high pressure building from the west again so it should be sunny, and feel more pleasant but still only 15'C.  It will be rather chilly overnight, possibly down to 3'C.
Saturday, high pressure will still be to our south so it will remain dry and might warm up to 16'C but it will be a cold start.
Sunday, dry again and a reasonable amount of sunshine and maybe up to 19'C.


I am expecting more high pressure during the first half of October but it will start to bring fog and frost.

At least rainfall amounts will stay low until the latter half of October.

Updated Weather Forecast - Saturday 1st October 2011

I think the heat might have got to my head, I am doing a third updated of the week - three whole forecasts from me in a week!  The main reason is that I can give a slight upgrade on the downgrade that I suggested for next week.

First, a beautiful sunset photo over London, taken again by my very good friend, Martin.

Sunday will be the last of those gloriously hot sunny summer days, only 26'C and a tiny bit of high cloud at times as the low pressure systems in the Atlantic approach.
Monday, however will still be mainly sunny, with a little cloud, and 25'C is still quite likely.  A band of cloud will pass overnight introducing noticeably fresher air.
Tuesday sees high pressure trying to reassert itself to the south of the UK, normal temperatures of 19'C which is still pretty decent, some sun, some cloud.
Wednesday sees the winds increase, but the weather during the day will be fair, possibly still around 19'C but there will be a band of showery rain overnight, possibly rather heavy with gusty winds.
Thursday will have this cold north-westerly wind so be prepared, it will be a shock to the system!  It might start mild depending how quick the band of rain disappears but will cool down during the day, 14'C at best.
Friday should be fine and sunny, the high pressure will have displaced the cold winds to the east but it won't be warm, just feeling less cold, 15'C.

Saturday and Sunday may well see the return of the warmer air, sunshine and temperatures of 20'C or maybe a little more.

I will be disappointed if October doesn't include gales, frost and some early snow.

Enjoy.  I will.