Updated Weather Forecast - Monday 12th March 2012

The last forecast was a bit rubbish wasn’t it?  I really didn’t have the time to spend on it.  This one is better.

Not only have I put much more effort and time into it, it is full of nice surprises - even for farmers.

The most important thing to state is that it is very uncertain how much cloud there will be each day.  I'll give the likeliest scenario and associated temperature but please remember for each day that if the sun comes out earlier than I am currently forecasting then add a few degrees to the forecasted temperature, equally knock a few off if it stays cloudy all day.

Tonight will see the cloud increase with some mist and fog patches around, potentially as low as 1'C.
Tuesday will start cloudy, possibly misty, there is a 50% chance of the sun breaking through.  11'C if cloudy, 16'C with a few hours of sunshine.  Cloudy overnight, 4'C.
Wednesday will again start cloudy but there is a 75% chance of the sun breaking through, temperatures will be between 12'C and 17'C depending on sunshine amounts.  4'C overnight.
Thursday will again likely start cloudy but I am 90% confident of a reasonable amount of sunshine and as such hopeful of reaching 18'C.  Around 5'C overnight.
Friday should actually start sunny but cloud and patchy light rain will be approaching from the west as the weather changes just in time for the weekend.  15'C quite possible.

The weekend sees an area of low pressure developing over the south of England and there will be localised areas of possibly quite heavy rain.  It will be localised and as such if you get one it will likely last several hours - but 30 miles away could stay dry and even bright all day.  I will know more detail by Thursday's forecast - but expect a wet and cooler weekend.  It wouldn't even be impossible for a repeat of the other Sunday's wet snow but very, very unlikely at this stage.

Unsettled for a few days after but then maybe, just maybe something quite special to make up for the coming disappointing weekend...

I am hopeful that the weekend after this will see a plume of very warm air coming from the equator region, it is not definite but I am 60% confident.  We could see temperatures up to 21’C widely which is very good for March (25'C being the record), possibly 23'C.

The potential is quite exceptional but it is only currently the most likely solution as opposed to the definite solution - way too far away!

Keep hoping :-)