Hello sunshine! 23'C in Reading today. But for how long?
It's a difficult one. We have a big lump of high pressure over the UK at the moment, it is not especially strong, and there is a pool of cold air wanting to come down towards us from the Arctic, but also the heat to the East (Europe is having a fantastic summer so far) is also wanting to edge our way.
But we do definitely have something to enjoy first.
Friday, I love Friday, sunny, a few clouds, very warm, 24'C, maybe a 25'C.
Saturday will see more in the way of cloud as the high pressure slips west of the UK, but still plenty of sunshine and very warm, depending on sunshine amounts it will be between 23'C and 26'C. You may notice the breeze.
Sunday and the high pressure is well back in the Atlantic and there is quite a bit of cloud around, but it will still feel warm, around 20'C perhaps. There is a small chance of a shower later in the day, more like in the evening, say 20%.
Monday is where things get tricky, low pressure is coming down from the north, to the north-west of the UK, and bringing the cooler Arctic air. I am not especially confident, but I think it will end up being cloudy with bits of rain, and quite cool, 15'C.
Anything after that, depends on what track the low pressure takes. My suspicion is that it is going to meander out to the west and end up sitting over the south of England. Which is good if you don't want to be paying higher prices in the supermarkets for your food later in the year, but bad if you want to get a natural sun-tan (boo to all those fakers, ha ha!).
I hesitate to guess at details for next week, as it really would be a guess. The Met Office or BBC aren't going to tell you either.
But I think Tuesday onwards may actually see temperatures start to recover, but with low pressure very close to our west, and a feed of Arctic air to mix with the hotter air over the continent trying to feed in, we will end up rather cloudy, with afternoon downpours for much of the week.
That is what I am tending towards for next week.
So, yes, you might regularly need your umbrella next week - but summer is far from over.
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