Well, I promised you that snow was on it's way and I have never seen anything like what is currently possible for Reading.
The cold block to the east is looking not so willing to give way but the Atlantic fronts with their associated rain are coming - and will turn to snow.
Where exactly gets the most snow and for how long for is still questionable so I will give it my best shot. Don't even bother looking at the BBC website as they have nothing forecast for Reading - shocking. And the Met Office typically underplay it.
You have been warned - this could end up with more snow than you have ever seen in England before next week is out (unless you are over 40 years old) - and it is certain to at least bring enough this weekend to cause much disruption.
Tonight will be clear, very cold with a severe frost, it is already below zero at 5pm and will possibly reach -8'C.
Friday will be cold and sunny, it might reach 1'C. Again very cold with a severe frost overnight and down to around -8'C again.
Saturday will become increasingly cloudy during the day and snow will begin to fall around 6pm, give or take a couple of hours. I am 90% confident of a heavy spell of snow, around 10cm in Reading. Some areas may get more, some less. There is a 10% chance that it may be sleet or wet snow at some point which would reduce the amount of snow on the ground. 2'C by day, -2'C by night.
Sunday will see the area of snow start to fizzle out, perhaps moving further east of Reading, but again perhaps staying over Reading to add another 5cm. And a 10-20% chance of it turning to sleet/rain. It is a little on a knife-edge. 1'C by day and down to around -3'C at night.
Monday is most likely to remain cloudy with some light bits of snow possible at times, 1'C by day and -2'C at night.
Tuesday brings the potential for another significant spell of snow but it is too far out to be certain.
Wednesday again has the potential for some light snow.
Thursday also has the potential for another significant spell of snow.
If these come off, and it is a big if, there could be amounts of up to 30-40cm.
Oh and afterwards it is most likely to remain cold and frosty for a week or so.
Confidence levels in my forecast are as follows:
Tonight, Friday and Saturday day - 100%
Saturday night - 90%
Sunday - 70%
Monday - 70%
Tuesday to Thursday - 40%
I will update if and when it changes because snow event forecasts for the UK are always marginal events.
But you will get a good dumping on Saturday night.
Have fun - I look forward to building snowmen!
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