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Welcome to my weather blog. I produce two weather forecasts per week, normally Monday and Thursday evening, and also put links to any other interesting weather information, and crazy weather videos that I discover. The forecast is based on my expectations for the Reading area, UK. If you want a forecast for your area, please e-mail me or comment below the blog post.

Thursday, 25 August 2011

Updated Weather Forecast - Thursday 25th August 2011

Forecasting the weather over the next couple of weeks is going to be even harder than usual - thanks to Hurricane Irene.

You will hear a lot about her, in the coming days and she will influence our weather.  Or so I believe.  Depending upon her track, we could either get lots of tropical air making it warm and humid, or we could end up with lots of wind and rain.  With the jetstream forecast to be strong and in the direction of the UK, sadly the latter is most likely.

Anything could happen over the next 10 days, which is why the UK weather is so interesting.

First we have our own area of low pressure to deal with, which is actually more like 3 low pressures, one over Ireland, one over Scotland, and one over the north of France heading north.

So, tonight and tomorrow, at some point, will see torrential rain in some areas.  I think Reading is likely to get hit tonight, maybe with some thunder, though the potential for more downpours is still there on Friday, especially in the morning.  Some areas of the UK will have flooding.

Friday may end up drier towards the end, at around 18'C.
Saturday sees high pressure trying to build, but still plenty of potential for showers, which could be heavy - showers more likely in the early part of the day, 18'C at best.
Sunday sees a weak area of high pressure, plenty of cloud, some light showers around, 19'C.
Monday should be dry, with some sunshine, 20'C perhaps.

With all the uncertainty prior to this, I really cannot be sure of the following days, but my guess is as follows:

Tuesday, dry but cloudy, 18'C.
Wednesday, dry, some sunshine, 20'C.

Thursday is when we may start to see what affect Hurricane Irene is having upon our weather.  It could turn out good, but equally, it might continue to be poor.

Keep a close eye on weather forecasts if you are depending on the weather as the expected torrential rainfall will arrive with just a few hours notice and nobody knows exactly where it will be.

Happy bank holiday!

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